CENTRAL NEWS
Russian Air Force and Syrian Warplanes continue to bomb Idlib. Again, the conflict is said to continue on land. Some observers have confirmed that the Syrian regime’s military forces have made progress on the land. However, there is military mobility around Hama; it seems that the military activity around Hama will continue. What is interesting is that whilst the activities of the Syria-Russia coalition continue, Western States such as the United Kingdom, Germany and so on have been demanding that the that these attacks are stopped.
The most remarkable one here, in such a reality, is the role of the Turkish state in the conflicts that have intensified in Idlib. Of course, the role of the Turkish State in the conflicts in Idlib and its role is well known. There is no ambiguity on the topic. Because the Turkish State, starting from the border of Aleppo, through Jerablus till the Euphrates river, has gained military occupation on the geography. For this reason, they are afraid that the conflicts will be exacerbated in Idlib and that the conflict will overflow to the cities and towns above. They see that the territory they have invaded is under threat, which is the reason why the Turkish state wants the Russian and Syrian states to stop the attacks on Idilib.
However, the Turkish state says it is in a close partnership with Russia. It can be said that the fascist dictator, R.T Erdogan, is holding a 24-hour phone line with the President of Russia, Putin, who is giving the orders.
On behalf of the Turkish state, Astana and Soci are holding official meetings with Russia and Iran, to take decisions about Syria and the war that is going on there. At the center of these decisions taken between the Turkish State, Iran and Russia, the war in the geography they call the western part of the Euphrates is taking place.
Although the Republic of Turkey is trying to include the Iranian and Russian states in the war against the Kurds in these negotiations, this reality is in question. As a result, the Turkish state, following bilateral meetings in Soci and Astana have made promises to withdraw their gangs, which they have kept under control until today, in Idlib. In fact, we have received information that these decisions were taken at the end of April.
However, despite such a reality, the Republic of Turkey is not fulfilling its promises to the states of Russia and Iran and refuses to abandon its occupied territories. As if this is not enough, they are building walls around Efrin, and asking Russia for permission to invade the Tıl Rıfat area.
What the Republic of Turkey pursued with this policy is clearly seen. Russia and Iranian states see this reality. It is not possible for these two states, which are already influential in the determination of the Middle East and World politics, not to see such a reality.
Before the invasion of Efrin, the Turkish state promised to the Russian and Iranian states that they would withdraw their gangs from Idlib, as it is today, and that this would take place at security points ’around Idlib. However, following such promises, the Turkish state did not hesitate to turn the security points into an arbitration centre for the Efrin occupation and its gangs.
Today, the Turkish government wants to do nothing more than this. The most noteworthy is that these are happening in a process where the relations between the US and the Turkish State are discussed. It is clear that Russia wants to use the Republic of Turkey in its relations with the United States. But it is also a fact that the user is wanted to be used. It is for this reason that no one can claim that this aspect of the Turkish States relations with Russia does not aim the abovementioned. Turkish States Efrin invasion is the most concrete evidence of this. If Russia did not give the approval and support given to Turkish State, they would not have occupied Efrin.
This reality constitutes the essence of the relations between the Republic of Turkey and Russia and Iran. This is the reason why Russia and S.400 missile launchers have made nuclear power plant agreements, which seem to be opposed to the US embargo against Iran.It is not possible to assume that this relationship with the Republic of Turkey with Russia and Iran is permanent. Therefore, it is not reassuring in Russia and Iranian states. Especially for Russia, this cannot be exaggerated. It is known that in Russia, as in history, in politics today, there is nothing that it cannot do for the sake of its interests.
However, there are different things happening with Russia itself. That is why it is impossible for them to have forgotten, especially in 1975, how the Iraq-Saddam regime abandoned Russia in one day. Until then, Russia was amongst the greatest supporters of Saddam’s regime. It was in the most supportive position in the military and economic fields including Iraq’s infrastructure. As a result of these close relations, in 1974, Saddam’s regime was suppressing the Kurdish resistance, while Russia stood by Iraq. This place is not limited to the political dimension, the hand of the Russian pilots was covered with Kurdish blood. This close relationship between Russia and the Iraqi-Saddam regime broke out in the days following the 1974 Kurdish massacre. Until that day, the Iran-Shah regime one day signed the Algerian agreement, the United States entered into a strong partnership relationship.
Everyone knows that V.Putin, Saddam Hussein etc are as pragmatic as R.T Erdogan. In this context, it is necessary to consider the sour relationship between the USA and Trkish State and questions how long it can last. It is for this reason that it first called Muammar Gaddafi and then made common cabinet meetings with ministers and soldout the President of the Republic of Syria, Blyar al-Asad, who they went on common vacations as a family. When we take this into context, it is not impossible that the same thing will happen with Russia when it comes to interests.
Will Erdoğan be able to get out of the mess he had created, if he takes the same attitude against V.Putin, as he did with Muammar Gaddafi or Bişar Esat? This is also a matter of discussion.
As stated by W.Churcill, who is accepted as an expert on foreign policy, ’you shouldnt get into bed with a Bear’.
İsmet Inonu draws attention to this reality by using the name of Russia directly. In the days when the Russian S.400 missile ramps were approached by the Turkish State, the consequences of the clashes in the province of Idlib will be caused by the Turkish state. from here we will see how the Turkish State gets out of bed with the bear.